New Delhi: A mathematical model by IIT scientists has projected that active cases in the second coronavirus wave in India may peak at 38-48 lakh between May 14-18.
The country witnessed a single-day rise of 3,52,991 (3.52 lakh) coronavirus infections and 2,812 fatalities with 28,13,658 (28.13 lakh) active cases on Monday.
The scientists from IIT, Kanpur and Hyderabad applied the Susceptible, Undetected, Tested (positive), and Removed Approach’ (SUTRA) model to predict that active cases would go up further by over 10 lakh by mid-May.
Maninder Agrawal, professor at the Department of Computer Science and Engineering, IIT-Kanpur said that peak timing is May 14-18 for active infections and May 4-8 for new infections. The IIT Kanpur professor said the SUTRA model uses three main parameters to predict the course of the pandemic.
Independent calculations by Gautam Menon and his team at Ashoka University in Haryana had predicted that the peak of the ongoing wave of infections could be between mid-April and mid-May.
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