A developing weather system over the southeast Bay of Bengal has intensified into a well-marked low-pressure area, prompting close monitoring by the Odisha government.
Meteorological assessments indicate that the system may strengthen into a depression by November 24, with a possibility of further intensification into a cyclone as it moves northwest.
System Strengthening Near Andaman Sea
Weather models suggest the system will consolidate near the South Andaman Sea around November 25. According to meteorological expert Sandeep Patnaik, favourable atmospheric and oceanic conditions — including warm sea surface temperatures, strong wind inflow from the Pacific region, and a favourable Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) phase — could support rapid intensification.
Patnaik noted that the absence of cold winds and the wide expanse of warm sea surface in the southeast Bay of Bengal increase the likelihood of the system strengthening. He added that the system may remain active until December 2 or 3, with intensification between November 26 and 30 expected to be the most critical period.
He further stated that the potential cyclone may intensify over the southwestern Bay of Bengal, posing possible impacts for the coasts of Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, and possibly Odisha, especially if two existing circulations merge over the Andaman region.
Wind Speeds May Reach 100 km/h
Forecast models show a significant rise in wind speeds over the Bay of Bengal beginning the evening of November 25, with speeds projected to reach:
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50–60 km/h on November 25
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60–70 km/h, gusting to 80 km/h, on November 26
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Up to 100 km/h by the morning of November 27
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has not yet issued an official forecast regarding the cyclone’s track or landfall, as the system is still evolving.
Odisha Government States It Is Fully Prepared
Odisha Revenue and Disaster Management Minister Suresh Pujari confirmed that the weather system is currently positioned about 1,000 km from the state’s coastline. He said the government is maintaining heightened vigilance and is ready to respond should the system move closer to Odisha.
“Two low-pressure systems have formed, including another circulation over the Andaman Sea. There is a possibility that these systems may combine and move westwards. The government is fully prepared, and all departments are on alert to mitigate any potential impact,” the Minister said.
