The India Meteorological Department (IMD) reports that a low-pressure system over the Malacca Strait and adjoining South Andaman Sea has intensified into a well-marked low-pressure area.
Consequently, meteorologists warn that the system may develop into a cyclone by November 26.
Meanwhile, the system continues to move west-northwestwards and strengthens further over the southwest Bay of Bengal during the next 48 hours. As a result, experts believe Odisha may escape the cyclone’s full brunt because the system could change direction towards Myanmar before approaching the state.
Furthermore, initial assessments indicate Odisha will face a limited impact even if the cyclone reaches peak strength. Although IMD has not yet issued a detailed forecast on landfall or regional impact, multiple weather models, including GFS and ECMWF, project different trajectories and intensities.
In addition, forecasts suggest the system may intensify into a cyclone between November 26 and 27, track northwest until November 30, and later veer northeast. However, some models predict weakening over the South Andaman Sea in early December.
At the same time, Odisha’s disaster management authorities remain on alert and monitor updates closely. Since the state has experienced severe cyclones in recent years, officials prioritise preparedness despite early indications of reduced risk.
Moreover, experts emphasise that changing oceanic and atmospheric conditions can alter cyclone paths quickly. Therefore, residents should stay updated with IMD bulletins and follow safety advisories.
Ultimately, this development highlights the unpredictable nature of tropical systems in the Bay of Bengal, where rapid intensification and sudden course shifts often challenge forecasting.
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